Coaching and teaching - many through the mortgage process and others on the field

Category: Interest Rates (Page 27 of 30)

Why the Sudden Increase in Interest Rates?

mortgage-interest-rates-rise

I’ve been receiving a good number of questions from both buyers and agents regarding the movement in interest rates. Many have been asking why the relatively big increase over such a short time frame and what does the future hold?

I’ll try to give a brief synopsis and link to a few articles for those who want to take a deeper dive.

Inflation Fearscoinsgrow

In essence, worries about higher inflation have been a main factor fueling the big bond market selloffs (which brings mortgage rates up) over the past month. The process accelerated after the U.S. election in early November. The reason: investors have bet that the prospect of expansive fiscal and economy policy from the new U.S. administration would lead to stronger growth and higher inflation.

Secondly, the Federal Reserve has strongly hinted that it will raise interest rates next week. Economic growth remains slow and steady, and inflation measures are relatively non-existent – but Fed officials are increasingly convinced that things are now good enough.

Their concerns about moving too soon are giving way to worries about waiting too long, and the possible inflationary pressures that come along with it.

The Fed would rather err on the side of caution rather then risk inflation.

Many argue that the more-than-likely rate increase is actually priced into the current market – and it was the election that brought it into focus sooner rather than later.

Here’s a look at the 10-year treasury yield (a very good directional marker to interest rates) over the last 6 months:

 

10yr-yield-12-5

Notice that yields are nearly a full point higher that the summer lows.

Does that mean you missed the boat if you didn’t act in October?  Hardly.

refinance totterI wouldn’t be surprised to see rates continue to tick upward over the next 30 days, but I believe things will begin to normalize in 2017. As mentioned earlier, upward inflationary measures are not really there.

More importantly, when you look at mortgage rates right now versus historical averages, we are still WAY below the norms. This is really a great time to buy and borrow.

Here’s a funny story that can give some perspective on the current situation. When I married by beautiful bride nearly 25 years ago, I got an absolutely smoking deal on a loan for our condo. It really was unheard of at the time. The rate….9.5%. That’s right, anything under 10% back then was considered a steal.

For more:

Min Zeng from the Wall St. Journal does a fine job of analyzing the situation here

Binyamin Appelbaum and Kevin Granville of the New York Times talk about the upcoming interest rate increase here

The views expressed are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of American Financial Network, Inc

5 Ways to Raise Your Credit Score Today

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I receive questions all the time regarding the credit scoring system, the FICO score, and how to improve those scores.

Not only can improving your FICO credit score improve your chances of obtaining a mortgage, but it could improve your auto insurance premiums and, possibly, make you a more attractive employment candidate.

FICO scores range from 300 to 850 – and mortgage applicants get the best mortgage rates and terms when their FICO scores are 720 or higher.

For borrowers of all FICO scores, the best way to improve your credit rating is to understand the factors that make up your FICO score, and to take the right actions that can make a positive impact on your score.

Find out more here from The Mortgage Reports and Britt Scearce

What’s Included In Your FICO Score

The FICO credit score takes into account a combination of all of the information found in your credit report.washingtonpostwordle

Your FICO score is made up of the following:

  • Payment History: 35% of your overall FICO
  • Total Amounts Owed: 30% of your overall FICO
  • Length of Credit History: 15% of your overall FICO
  • New Credit: 10% of your overall FICO
  • Type of Credit in Use: 10% of your overall FICO

To find out what is impacting your FICO score you will want to review your credit reports.  You can obtain a free copy of your credit report from each of the three main credit reporting agencies — Equifax, TransUnion, and Experian — at www.annualcreditreport.com.

Your scores are generated based on a snapshot of the information on your credit report as of the particular moment that the report is pulled. Correcting errors is crucial, therefore, to ensure the highest possible FICO score.

Here are things you can do in the short term to improve your score:

1. Verify your accounts are current

“Payment History” makes the largest impact on your FICO score at 35% of your overall score. It is vital, therefore, that you keep current on all of the accounts reporting to your credit report.

When reviewing your credit report, should you find any accounts that are past due, catch them up as soon as possible and pay at least the minimum payment required by the due date.

2. Dispute your inaccuracies

Should you detect any errors on your credit report, you will want to request a correction as quickly as possible.  In order to make a correction, use the information on your report to contact the credit bureaus, and also the creditors which provided the erroneous data to the bureaus.  Getting even one late payment removed from your credit report can improve your FICO score dramatically.

piggybank-house3. Ask for a little grace

Sometimes, a creditor may be willing to “help you out”.  In cases where you make a relatively small slip-up, with a creditor you’ve never been late with, you can sometimes get a late-payment waived.  It’s always a good idea to make a phone call and to ask for a little grace.  This works best if you catch the delinquency early and bring the account current right away.

There are many examples of creditors removing a late payment from your credit report if there’s a legitimate story behind what happened, and if you can explain what steps you’ve taken to avoid a repeat occurrence.

4. Settle up collections, charge-offs, judgments and liens

Old collection items, credit card charge-offs, and judgments and liens can hurt your FICO score, too. If you’ve got any of these on your credit report, it’s time to contact your creditors and collection agencies and to settle up one-at-a-time.

In many cases, you can negotiate with your creditors to remove a trade line completely in exchange for settling an account for its full balance. You need to call your credits first, however, to find out.

5. Improve your debt utilization ratio

Another way to improve your FICO is to improve your “amounts owed”, or debt utilization ratio.  Debt utilization makes up 30% of your FICO credit score.  This is a measure of how much you money you owe to creditors as compared to how much credit is available to you.  The FICO scoring model takes into account the utilization of each individual credit account; and the utilization of all of your credit accounts combined.Cool bulbs

For example, if you have five credit cards, each with a $2,000 limit, you have a total $10,000 available credit over all five accounts. If you carry a $1,000 balance on one of the five accounts, you would have a 50% utilization on one card and a 10% utilization over all of your credit.

In general, debt utilization of 30% of less is good for FICO scores. Utilization over 30% is often bad.

Now that you are armed with this – get to work and see what you can accomplish to improve that score.  Give me a call, as I’d be more than happy to coach you through this process, as well!

What is APR….and is it all that important?

Mortgage-APR-Is-Most-Often-Inaccurate

There is a lot of regulation around APR and home mortgages – and anything with this much regulation must be important, right?  Lenders and loan officers spend a lot of time calculating, managing, and disclosing APR.  It is a big part of everyday life in the lending industry.

Candidly, APR is confusing and hard to understand.  I have heard it called many things – average percentage rate, about percentage rate, approximate percentage rates…for the record it is Annual Percentage Rate, so let’s clear up some of the confusion.

Source: The Mortgage Reports

What is APR and is it all that important?

APR (annual percentage rate) is the interest rate plus the costs associated with the loan.  This mysterious number is intended to give an apples to apples comparison between two different loans.  

Theoretically, if the consumer compares the APR of two loans, the loan with the lowest annual percentage rate is naturally the best loan for the consumer.  APR is designed to protect consumes from hidden costs, bait & switch, and deceptive marketing schemes which have been used in this industry.

Equity Prime - Michael NelsonHang On A Minute – Does APR Tell the Whole Story All Of The Time?

APR is certainly helpful and an important part of the lending process.  However, loans are complex and ultimately one number alone does not automatically find the best loan for a particular borrower.  Please do check out the article I have attached with this post that details  APR – the good and the bad.  APR is a complex calculation with many variables. If these variables are not exactly the same between loans, the loans are not apples to apples comparisons.

Remember, the borrower must look at a refinance or purchase of a new home relative to their particular needs.  The borrower’s debt, savings, down payment, anticipated time in a home, family, etc all play an important part in selecting the right mortgage.  While APR is important, one number can’t take into account all the variations and nuances in the life of a borrower.

APR Michael NelsonEquity PrimeWe Need to Help Our Customers Understand Hard Concepts!

I have said this before and it is worth repeating – lenders (such as myself) and real estate agents must  educate clients on  appropriate real estate and lending options.  If you are a borrower – make sure you have the right professionals supporting your real estate needs.  The right professionals care about your needs and take the time to do the research required to recommend the correct products.

A big thanks to my friend and colleague, Mike Nelson, for really bringing together the key pieces of APR!

11 million Americans spend half their income on rent

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The number of renters dedicating at least half of their income toward housing hit a record high of 11 million people in 2014, according to the annual State of the Nation’s Housing Report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.

Source: Money Magazine

While renters are paying more, affordability is improving for those who own their homes. The number of cost-burdened homeowners declined in 2014 for the fourth consecutive year, according to the report, thanks to low mortgage rates.

Over 11 million spend nearly 50% of their income on rent and  21.3 million are spending 30% or more of their paycheck to cover the rent — also a record high.

Personal finance experts generally suggest budgeting around 30% of monthly income to cover housing costs.  But according to the article, that’s getting harder to do with rent prices rising faster than wages.piggybank-house

Last year saw the biggest surge in new renters in history, according to the report, bringing the number of people living in rental units to around 110 million people — or about 36% of households.

Middle-aged renters made up a lot of the new demand, with 40% of renters aged 30-49.

And renters are sitting on both ends of the pay scale: almost half of new renters in 2015 earned less than $25,000, while top-income households have been the fastest-growing segment of new renters for the past three years.

What’s really fascinating about this phenomenon is that housing prices are relatively affordable and interest rates are extremely low, both based on historical norms.

Discount Points & Mortgages: Good idea or wasted money?

Approved-Mortgage

My good friend and colleague, Mike Nelson, has put together a fantastic piece on understanding the pros and cons of paying discount “points” or fees to obtain a lower interest rate.  I’ll warn you, this is some real “inside baseball” type of stuff (and as Mike states, “I recommend this blog and a smart phone as you try to go to sleep…if you have insomnia”), but he does a fantastic job of highlighting the key reasons to either buy down your rate, or not.

Source – Mike Nelson’s Efficient Selling Blog

Let’s start at the beginning – with a definition.  This definition comes to us from Investopedia along with an article they penned on the topic.

Discount points are a type of fee mortgage borrowers can purchase that lowers the amount of interest they will have to pay on subsequent payments. Each point generally costs 1% of the total loan amount and depending on the borrower, each point lowers your interest rate by one-eighth to one one-quarter of your interest rate. Discount points are tax deductible in the year in which they are paid.

How long the customer stays in the house or re-finances ultimately determines if a discount is worth the cost!

Most borrowers and lenders will immediately conduct a break-even analysis to determine the benefit of the discount.  In Mike’s example, the $10 difference in monthly payment is recouped in 100 months, or 8.4 years.  The borrower then considers how long they will live in the house – if it’s more than 8 years, the discount seems like a good deal.  Do click on Mike’s link to find out more.

The average 30 year mortgage in the US is refinanced every 7 years.

So what is the conclusion?

Generally, if the borrower believes they will be in the house more than 10 years they should give strong consideration to paying the discount on the rate with cash and not financing into the mortgage.  After 10 to 15 years the discounted interest rate is generally better for the borrower.  Interestingly, however, the average loan is refinanced every 7 years, so take that into consideration, as well!

One other thing to factor in, are the tax ramifications to the mortgage.  It’s important to consult with a financial advisor or CPA for the complete tax implications.

Work with a lender who can do the math!

If you are working with a lender that does not understand these concepts, you are working with the wrong lender!  It’s the responsibility of the lender to calculate the implications of discounts and pass that on to you.

Finally, remember this: lenders are not giving discounts because they save you money at their expense.  The lenders (or at least the one’s who are doing it right) are doing sophisticated calculations determining the risk of discounting rates over the lifespan of an entire portfolio of loans.  Lenders will price accordingly – just make sure you as a borrower have don the analysis to know which scenario is best for your situation!

 
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