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Category: Interest Rates (Page 6 of 26)

Why Are Mortgage Lenders Requiring Upfront Points Today?

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There’s been a recent change in the mortgage marketplace, as lenders are now requiring borrowers to pay upfront discount points when obtaining a home loan.

Calculator and pen

This is much different than in years past, when borrowers could easily qualify for a home loan with no points – and in some cases even receive a lender credit.

To find out more about discount points, please refer to this article…

Why Is This the Case?

Today’s situation has everything to do with volatility in the mortgage market over the last few years.

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In essence, it’s very difficult for lenders to determine the value of a mortgage consummated today, because it’s unclear where mortgage rates go next.  Lenders need to make sure that they don’t lose money on each loan they originate.

So, to guard against this unknown, nearly all lenders are charging discount points to ensure at least some profits are being captured upfront.

Why Do Mortgage Lenders Charge Points?

Mortgage lenders charge points to collect profit upfront as opposed to over time via regular monthly interest payments.

Instead of waiting to collect interest each month once the loan is closed, they can collect some money upfront.

Lenders use upfront points to manage their risk. By requiring borrowers to pay discount points, lenders can ensure a more predictable profit over the life of the loan.

selective focus photo of stacked coins

This can be particularly important when interest rates are expected to rise, as it helps lenders secure a steady income regardless of market fluctuations.

Mortgage investors generally make money from the interest charged on the loans they provide. However, many of the mortgages originated today might be refinanced quickly, all but eliminating their projected revenue stream.

By requiring up-front points, the lender is compensated for the reduced interest income they would have received over the life of the loan.

How Will These New Mortgages Perform for Lenders and Investors?

Because mortgage rates have more than doubled in a short period of time, there’s a great deal of uncertainty regarding recently-originated home loans.

The big concerns for lenders and mortgage investors is a situation where rates improve enough for many of these borrowers to refinance.

Will those borrowers who obtained mortgages in 2022 and 2023 keep them for the long haul, or will they quickly refinance them if/when mortgage rates improve?

Per The Truth About Mortgage’s article, “a recent stat from Black Knight found that at least 10% of 2022 mortgages would become refinance candidates if the 30-year fixed fell to 4.75%”.  And many believe that number is low…

Piggy bank and calculator

So, if these homeowners refinance, their loans no longer earn profitable interest for the investors. In normal times, lenders can sell their loans to investors at a premium, and use the proceeds to cover their commissions and your closing costs (via lender credits).

Currently, however, this is proving difficult because the value of these loans is essentially unknown. Hence, the profit is being taken upfront in the form of discount points.

In Conclusion

Today’s current mortgage rate environment is much more volatile than in years past. This has made it difficult for investors to determine the value of their underlying loans.

This is why many borrowers are seeing multiple mortgage points attached to today’s mortgage rates.

For example, if you’re planning to stay in your home or hold that investment property for a long time and have the upfront funds available, paying points could be a financially sound decision.

On the other hand, if you’re planning to move or refinance in the near future, paying extra upfront points might not provide as much benefit. It’s important to always compare the total costs and potential savings over the life of the loan before making a decision.

Do reach out to me to discuss the options of paying points…and how much!

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Understanding Today’s Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates are a critical aspect of the housing market, directly influencing the affordability and accessibility of homeownership for millions of people.

Today’s rates are influenced by a variety of factors, including the overall state of the economy, the bond market, inflation, and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies.

I’m asked consistently about what the future looks like for interest rates. Unfortunately, there’s no easy way to answer that question because mortgage rates are difficult to predict, as there are many factors involved. 

However, there is a good historic indicator of what might happen with mortgage rates, and that’s the relationship between the 30-Year Mortgage Rate and the 10-Year Treasury Yield.

Many believe that the Federal Reserve set mortgage rates – and that’s not the case.  Traditionally, the movement of the 10-year treasury bond is a great measure for mortgage rates.

You can find out a bit more here from Keeping Current Matters…

The Historical Spread

Here’s a graph showing those two metrics since Freddie Mac started keeping track of average  mortgage rates in 1972:

As the graph above demonstrates, the average spread between the two over the last 50 years was 1.72 percentage points.

More importantly, when looking at the trend line, readers can see when the Treasury Yield trends up, mortgage rates almost always react in the same direction. And, when the yield drops, mortgage rates tend to follow.

Finally, the gap between the two has remained about 1.72 percentage points for quite some time.

Today’s Spread

However, what’s important to notice now is that the spread is widening much more than normal.  See the graph below:

The reason?  It’s has much to do with the uncertainties in the financial markets today. Inflation, the recent banking foreclosures, and lack of confidence the Federal Reserve are all influencing mortgage rates and widening this spread.  Investors essentially need to factor in more risk into their pricing.

Inflation is truly the critical factor affecting today’s mortgage rates. Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money over time, reducing the value of future loan repayments to lenders. To protect their investments, lenders tend to raise mortgage rates in response to higher inflation.

Therefore, understanding inflation trends can help borrowers anticipate potential changes in mortgage rates and decide when to lock in their rates for the best deal.

Moving Forward

It is also really important to understand this spread and its deviation from historical norms. What most conclude is that there’s room for mortgage rates to improve moving forward.

And, here are what a few experts think, as long as inflation abates.

From Forbes magazine:

“Though housing market watchers expect mortgage rates to remain elevated amid ongoing economic uncertainty and the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking war on inflation, they believe rates peaked last fall and will decline—to some degree—later this year, barring any unforeseen surprises.”

Secondly, as Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, explains:

“It’s reasonable to assume that the spread and, therefore, mortgage rates will retreat in the second half of the year if the Fed takes its foot off the monetary tightening pedal . . . However, it’s unlikely that the spread will return to its historical average of 170 basis points, as some risks are here to stay.

In Conclusion

Understanding today’s mortgage rates is vital for anyone considering homeownership or refinancing.

Mortgage rates are influenced by a complex interplay of economic factors, inflation, Federal Reserve policies, and housing demand. Being aware of these influences empowers borrowers to make informed decisions about their mortgage options, ultimately impacting their financial well-being and the overall real estate market.

Do reach out to me for more information, as it would by my pleasure to help you navigate these interesting times!

The Benefits of Borrowing from a 401(k) for a Down Payment

Pen and calculator

One legitimate option for those looking to make a home purchase is to borrow from a 401(k) retirement account to cover some or all of the down payment.

As we all know, purchasing a home is a significant milestone in many people’s lives and it often requires a substantial down payment, which can be a barrier for aspiring homeowners.

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An often-used solution is to borrow from a 401(k) retirement account and utilize those funds for the down payment.

While there are risks involved, there are multiple reasons why borrowing from your 401(k) can be a good idea.

Accessibility and Convenience

Borrowing from one’s 401(k) for a down payment provides a readily accessible source of funds.

House with cash

Since it’s your own retirement savings, borrowers won’t have to go through extensive approval processes or meet stringent credit requirements as you might with traditional financing options.

This convenience can expedite the home-buying process, enabling you to seize opportunities in a competitive housing market.

Lower Interest Rates

When borrowing from your 401(k), you typically pay yourself back with interest.

While interest rates vary, they are often lower than those associated with traditional loans, such as HELOCS or personal loans.

By utilizing 401(k) funds, you may be able to save money on interest payments over the long term, making it a cost-effective option for financing your down payment.

No Need for Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI)

One advantage of borrowing from your 401(k) is that it eliminates the need for private mortgage insurance (PMI).

PMI is typically required for homebuyers who put down less than 20% of the purchase price. By utilizing your 401(k) funds, you can increase your down payment and potentially avoid the additional cost of PMI. And that can save you a significant amount of money over the life of your mortgage.

Whiteboard with questions

Repayment Flexibility

Borrowing from your 401(k) provides you with repayment flexibility.

While it’s crucial to adhere to the repayment terms to avoid penalties, you have the opportunity to repay the loan on your terms.

This flexibility can be especially beneficial if you encounter financial hardships or unexpected expenses in the future, as you can adjust your repayment schedule accordingly.

Building Home Equity

By utilizing your 401(k) funds for a down payment, you can expedite your entry into the real estate market and begin building equity in your home sooner.

Home equity is an asset that can grow over time, potentially providing you with a source of financial stability or the ability to leverage it for future investments or other financial goals. 

Conclusion

While borrowing from your 401(k) for a down payment on a home is a decision that should be carefully considered, it can offer several advantages.

Phone with graph

The accessibility, lower interest rates, potential elimination of PMI, repayment flexibility, and the opportunity to build home equity are compelling reasons to explore this option.

With proper planning and responsible management, borrowing from your 401(k) can be a beneficial strategy to turn your dream of home ownership into a reality. 

Nevertheless, it is crucial to weigh the risks involved and consult with financial advisors to make an informed decision that aligns with your long-term financial goals.

I also advise that you contact your financial planner to see if this might be a good option for you.

Contact me to discuss your current situation and how you might be able to take advantage of your 401(k) and purchasing a home.  It would be my pleasure to help you!

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Debunking the Myth: You Don’t Need a 20% Down Payment for a Mortgage

Bags of Money in a Shopping Cart

The idea of needing a 20% down payment for a mortgage has long been fixed in the minds of prospective homebuyers. However, this traditional belief doesn’t hold true in today’s dynamic housing market.

House with Money

With evolving loan options and changing financial landscapes, it’s important to debunk the myth and explore the advantages of bringing in a small down payment when securing a home loan for a primary residence.

Accessibility and Affordability

Requiring a 20% down payment can be a big hurdle to homeownership for many. For first-time buyers or those with limited savings, this amount may be prohibitively high.

US Department of Housing and Urban Development Logo

Fortunately, many mortgage programs exist that allow for lower down payments, such as Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans, which require as little as 3.5% down.

VA loans for those in our military and our veterans can require no down payments whatsoever!

These options make home ownership far more accessible and affordable for a broader range of would-be  buyers.  This provides new opportunities for individuals to enter the market and build equity.

For today’s most widely-used purchase mortgage programs, down payment minimum requirements are:

  • FHA Loan: 3.5% down payment minimum
  • VA Loan: No down payment required
  • HomeReady/Home Possible Conventional Loan (with PMI): 3%
  • Conventional Loan (with PMI): 5%
  • Conventional Loan (without PMI): 20% minimum
  • USDA Loan: No Down Payment required

PMI is “private mortgage insurance”…and you can find out more about that here…

You can also find out more on the specifics of multiple mortgage types here…

By allowing lower down payments, lenders offer more financial flexibility to aspiring homeowners. This means that you can become a homeowner sooner and start building equity in your own home right away!

Opportunity for Building Wealth

Rather than waiting until they accumulate a large down payment, individuals can enter the housing market sooner by utilizing mortgage programs with lower down payment requirements.

white paymaster ribbon writer adding machine placed on tabletop

This early entry enables homeowners to benefit from potential property appreciation, which can be a valuable source of wealth building over time.

By leveraging their down payment funds to secure a mortgage and invest in a property, individuals can start building equity and potentially generate significant returns in the long run.

Would-be borrowers can also utilize gifts from relatives for their down payment and closing costs.  Find out more on that here…

Flexibility and Financial Freedom

Money with Rope

Earmarking a significant portion of savings towards a down payment may leave homebuyers financially strained, limiting their flexibility and ability to handle unexpected expenses or invest in other areas.

Opting for a lower down payment allows buyers to retain more cash on hand, providing a financial safety net and allowing for future investments or potential home improvements.

This increased flexibility enhances financial freedom and offers peace of mind in managing homeownership-related expenses.

In Conclusion

person with keys for real estate

The belief that a 20% down payment is necessary for obtaining a mortgage is no longer an absolute truth.

While a larger down payment can offer certain advantages, such as lower monthly payments, it is essential to recognize the benefits of alternative mortgage programs with lower down payment requirements.

These options promote accessibility, affordability, and the opportunity for investment and wealth building. By understanding the evolving landscape of mortgage financing, prospective homebuyers can make informed decisions that align with their financial goals and aspirations. 

So please do reach out to me for more, as it would be my pleasure to help you structure your loan and down payment options.

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Consumer View of US Housing Market Reach New Lows – But Is It Correct?

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Only 21% of Americans say it is a good time to buy a house, the lowest percentage ever in Gallup’s polling sample.

Prior to 2022, for example, 50% or more respondents unfailingly thought it was a good time to make a home purchase, and you can find the specifics of the poll here….

Graph of Percentage of People Who Said It Was a Good Time To Buy a House

The latest results are from Gallup’s annual Economy and Personal Finance poll, conducted over 3 weeks in April. Unbelievably, 78% percent of those surveyed say it is a bad time to buy a house right now.

To add some context, Gallup first asked Americans about their thoughts on the housing market in 1978, when 53% thought it was a good time to buy.

Per Jeffrey Jones’ report, “thirteen years later, when the question was asked again, 67% held that view. The record high of 81% was recorded in 2003, at a time of growing homeownership rates and housing prices.”

No doubt the respondents are sure of their positions, but does the data really bear that out?  And what does the future hold?

The Current Situation – Two Viewpoints

Per Jones, “in the past two years, as housing prices have soared and the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates to try to tame inflation, houses have become less affordable for many Americans, and views of the housing market have tumbled.”

Graph of Americans That Expect Home Prices to Rise

However, another housing survey, this one from the industry specific MBS Highway, showed in April another solid increase in buying activity as the spring selling/buying season kicked into high gear. This marks the 4th-straight month of improving sentiment for their report.  You can find out more on that here…

MBS Housing Survey in April 2023

68% of respondents characterized their market as ‘active’ and 33% of respondents indicated that they were now seeing price increases.

Media Bias Might Be To Blame

The latest Existing Home Sales report showed that the median home price declined on an annual basis for the first time in almost 11 years. That seems like a big headline, right?!

ABC News of Red Flags in Mortgage Market

This is a classic case of the media trying to gain and keep viewership with shock headlines.

In many ways, our mainstream media is not truly interested in digging deeper for the facts and truth.  You can find out more on that here…

First of all, the decline was only 0.2% – and it was for the median home price, which is NOT the same as appreciation.

FHFA’s latest appreciation report showed that home prices rose 5.3% year over year. And according to Case-Shiller, they rose 3.8% year over year.

FIFA House Price Index

These are the two best ways to measure home price appreciation.

The Real Inside Scoop

Although no one can deny that higher mortgage rates are keeping would-be buyers on the sideline, the story that no one is talking about is the lack of housing supply.  You can find out more on that here…

More importantly, let’s take a closer look at active listings in the US:

Graph of Active Existing Home Listings in the US

You might remember from your Econ 101 class that supply and demand is what sets prices.  Smaller supply means that a higher price is to be paid…so I do believe that home prices will not be going down any time soon!

Cartoon Graph with House in the Background

All things considered, the opportunity in this market appears to be very favorable.  If you are trying to wait to time the market, that home you are waiting for will just be more expensive down the road. 

And if you make that purchase now and interest rates fall (as many think will happen), you can easily refinance into a lower rate!

In Conclusion

Per Jones, “it is likely that Americans’ pessimism about homebuying reflects the high prices and high interest rates that are conspiring to make mortgage payments less affordable. These attitudes may keep many prospective homebuyers out of the market.”

If that’s the case, that means there is a window of opportunity for buyers ready to act today.

Do reach out to me to find out more, as it would be my pleasure to help you finance that investment property or the home of your dreams.

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