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Tag: housing market (Page 2 of 4)

Why Pausing Your Home Search Might Not Be a Good Idea

August 29, 2023 /

For those who have been shopping for a home recently, you’ve likely confronted more than a few challenges along the way.

High mortgage interest rates and rising home prices cut into affordability, pushing many would-be buyers to the sidelines. Secondly, a lack of housing inventory is only making matters worse.

woman with credit card pondering while buying online with laptop

Due to these conditions, some buyers have decided to pause their home purchasing plans on hold, at least temporarily. But is that such a good idea?

You can find out more from Erik Martin’s article at The Mortgage Reports here…

Temporarily stopping your home buying search might seem like a reasonable decision in certain situations, such as a volatile real estate market or personal financial uncertainty.

However, there are several compelling reasons why hitting the pause button on your home buying journey might not be the best move.

Ever-Changing Market

The real estate market is dynamic and ever-changing. Pausing your search could mean missing out on potential opportunities.

Market conditions can shift quickly, and a property that fits your criteria perfectly may become available during your hiatus.

In today’s market, for example, home prices are continuing to rise due to lower supply and higher demand. So, if buyers choose to wait, it’s a guarantee that they will pay more for a home in the future.

By staying active in your search, you can capitalize on favorable market conditions and secure a property that aligns with your needs and preferences.

Long-Term Hold

Moreover, real estate is a long-term investment that tends to appreciate over time. This is especially true if borrowers are looking to keep the property for an extended period of time, versus flipping it quickly.

By delaying a purchase, would-be buyers could potentially miss out on the appreciation of property values in their desired area.

This could limit their ability to build equity and wealth through homeownership. Over the years, the property they had their eye on might become out of reach due to escalating prices.

Interest Rates

Yes, interest rates are at much higher levels than they were 2+ years ago, but most experts agree that waiting for rates to come down before making a purchase is a risky strategy.  Timing the market is always a very difficult task.

When rates do drop, many believe that there will be renewed interest and added demand in the real estate market…which means prices will rise at a faster pace than today.

By waiting, you might end up paying more for the same property when interest rates inevitably drop.  Remember, borrowers can always refinance when rates go down, so ‘Marry the House but Date the Rate’!

In Conclusion

While pausing your home buying search might seem like a cautious approach, it comes with potential drawbacks that could impact your financial well-being and future prospects.

The real estate market’s volatility, fluctuating interest rates, and the potential appreciation of property values all underscore the importance of staying active in your pursuit of homeownership.

By maintaining a proactive stance, you position yourself to make informed decisions that align with your goals and aspirations.

Please reach out to me for more so we can strategize about the right options for you!

Utilizing Existing Home Equity to Purchase Investment Property or a Second Home

July 24, 2023 /

Home ownership can provide a valuable asset in the form of home equity, which represents the difference between a property’s market value and the outstanding mortgage balance.

close up photo of banknotes under a calculator

Leveraging home equity to invest in real estate has become an attractive option for many seeking to build wealth and diversify their financial portfolio.

Let’s take a look at the benefits and risks associated with using home equity to purchase an investment property or a second home.

Advantages of Using Home Equity for Investment

One of the primary advantages of using home equity to buy an investment property is the potential for higher returns on investment compared to traditional savings or investment options.

person with keys for real estate

Real estate properties, when well-selected, have the potential to appreciate over time, leading to substantial gains for the investor. Additionally, rental income from the investment property can provide a steady source of cash flow, which can be used to pay down the mortgage or fund other investments.

Moreover, utilizing home equity allows investors to take advantage of relatively lower interest rates, which can significantly reduce borrowing costs compared to other types of loans.

Building Wealth and Diversification

Investing in real estate with home equity can be an effective strategy for building long-term wealth and diversifying one’s investment portfolio.

Real estate has historically shown a strong track record of long-term appreciation, offering a hedge against inflation and economic downturns. By diversifying investments across various asset classes, individuals can reduce their overall risk exposure and increase the potential for steady returns.

Home equity, when deployed wisely into real estate, can help individuals achieve financial security and achieve their long-term financial goals.

Risks and Considerations

While using home equity to purchase an investment property can be financially rewarding, it does come with some inherent risks.

The most significant risk is the potential decline in property values, which could leave the investor with a property worth less than the outstanding mortgage balance. Although rare, unexpected changes in the local real estate market can impact property values. You can find out more about the historical appreciation of real estate here…

Moreover, if rental income from the investment property falls short of expectations, the investor may face difficulties meeting mortgage payments, leading to financial strain.

Therefore, it is crucial for investors to conduct thorough research and due diligence before proceeding with this strategy.

Responsible Borrowing and Financial Discipline

To minimize the risks associated with using home equity, responsible borrowing and financial discipline are essential.

Investors must carefully assess their ability to handle increased debt and maintain adequate reserves to cover unforeseen expenses or periods of vacancy. Furthermore, they should consider setting up separate accounts to manage rental income, property-related expenses, and mortgage payments to maintain financial transparency and accountability.

Moreover, keeping a strong credit score is crucial to ensure access to favorable financing terms and interest rates.

In Conclusion

Using home equity to purchase an investment property can be a prudent financial decision when approached with caution and foresight.

The potential for higher returns, coupled with the diversification benefits, can be appealing to investors seeking to grow their wealth. However, it is essential to be mindful of the inherent risks and practice responsible financial management.

Thorough research, careful planning, and ongoing monitoring are vital to the success of this investment strategy.

By making informed decisions and maintaining financial discipline, individuals can leverage their home equity to create a pathway towards financial prosperity and stability. 

Please contact me to discuss your current situation and how you might be able to take advantage of your home equity to purchase another property.  It would be my pleasure to help you!

Consumer View of US Housing Market Reach New Lows – But Is It Correct?

May 22, 2023 /

Only 21% of Americans say it is a good time to buy a house, the lowest percentage ever in Gallup’s polling sample.

Prior to 2022, for example, 50% or more respondents unfailingly thought it was a good time to make a home purchase, and you can find the specifics of the poll here….

The latest results are from Gallup’s annual Economy and Personal Finance poll, conducted over 3 weeks in April. Unbelievably, 78% percent of those surveyed say it is a bad time to buy a house right now.

To add some context, Gallup first asked Americans about their thoughts on the housing market in 1978, when 53% thought it was a good time to buy.

Per Jeffrey Jones’ report, “thirteen years later, when the question was asked again, 67% held that view. The record high of 81% was recorded in 2003, at a time of growing homeownership rates and housing prices.”

No doubt the respondents are sure of their positions, but does the data really bear that out?  And what does the future hold?

The Current Situation – Two Viewpoints

Per Jones, “in the past two years, as housing prices have soared and the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates to try to tame inflation, houses have become less affordable for many Americans, and views of the housing market have tumbled.”

However, another housing survey, this one from the industry specific MBS Highway, showed in April another solid increase in buying activity as the spring selling/buying season kicked into high gear. This marks the 4th-straight month of improving sentiment for their report.  You can find out more on that here…

68% of respondents characterized their market as ‘active’ and 33% of respondents indicated that they were now seeing price increases.

Media Bias Might Be To Blame

The latest Existing Home Sales report showed that the median home price declined on an annual basis for the first time in almost 11 years. That seems like a big headline, right?!

This is a classic case of the media trying to gain and keep viewership with shock headlines.

In many ways, our mainstream media is not truly interested in digging deeper for the facts and truth.  You can find out more on that here…

First of all, the decline was only 0.2% – and it was for the median home price, which is NOT the same as appreciation.

FHFA’s latest appreciation report showed that home prices rose 5.3% year over year. And according to Case-Shiller, they rose 3.8% year over year.

These are the two best ways to measure home price appreciation.

The Real Inside Scoop

Although no one can deny that higher mortgage rates are keeping would-be buyers on the sideline, the story that no one is talking about is the lack of housing supply.  You can find out more on that here…

More importantly, let’s take a closer look at active listings in the US:

You might remember from your Econ 101 class that supply and demand is what sets prices.  Smaller supply means that a higher price is to be paid…so I do believe that home prices will not be going down any time soon!

All things considered, the opportunity in this market appears to be very favorable.  If you are trying to wait to time the market, that home you are waiting for will just be more expensive down the road. 

And if you make that purchase now and interest rates fall (as many think will happen), you can easily refinance into a lower rate!

In Conclusion

Per Jones, “it is likely that Americans’ pessimism about homebuying reflects the high prices and high interest rates that are conspiring to make mortgage payments less affordable. These attitudes may keep many prospective homebuyers out of the market.”

If that’s the case, that means there is a window of opportunity for buyers ready to act today.

Do reach out to me to find out more, as it would be my pleasure to help you finance that investment property or the home of your dreams.

Recession and the Housing Market

May 17, 2023 /

Many experts are once again predicting recession as economic production seems to be slowing.

The definition of a recession has been typically recognized as two consecutive quarters of economic decline, as reflected by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in conjunction with monthly indicators such as a rise in unemployment.

Many are concerned that the recession will dramatically and negatively impact the housing market…but historically that isn’t the case.

Real Estate During Recession

Believe it or not, outside of the “great recession” of 2007 (which was caused, in part, to a housing crisis), home values and real estate generally appreciate historically during times of recession.

That seems counter intuitive…but because interest rates generally drop during recessionary periods, homes become MORE affordable to potential buyers. Even though property values are higher, buyer see lower payments provided by those lower rates.

When more people can qualify for homes, the demand for housing increases – and so do home prices.

Mortgage Rates During Recession

When a recession hits, the Federal Reserve prefers rates to be low. The prevailing logic is low-interest rates encourage borrowing and spending, which stimulates the economy.

During a recession, the demand for credit actually declines, so the price of credit falls to entice borrowing activity. 

Here’s a quick snapshot of what mortgage rates have done during recessionary periods:

Obtaining a mortgage during a recession might actually be a good opportunity. As mentioned, when the economy is sluggish, interest rates tend to drop.

Refinancing or purchasing a new home could be a great way to get in at the bottom of the market and make a healthy profit down the road.

With that said, borrowers should be market-wise and financially savvy when considering large real estate purchases in a recession.

The Great Recession and Home Prices

Home price appreciation continued during previous downturns, except for what is called the “Great Recession”.  While the recession officially lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, it took many years for the economy to recover to pre-crisis levels of employment and output.

So what made the Great Recession different? The housing boom that preceded the last recession was largely driven by an explosion in both home-building activity and mortgage credit.

Home buyers were able to get mortgages with no documentation of their income and no down payment. Many loans had introductory 0% interest periods that made them cheap to start but more expensive as time wore on.

Today, those loan products are no longer in existence.

Today’s Market

The growth in home prices seen during the current economic expansion has not been fueled by increased access to mortgage credit. In essence, today’s recession isn’t at all similar to the prior one.

Rather, it’s a simple reflection of supply and demand. Many Americans want to become homeowners, but the supply of homes available for sale is very low, pushing prices upward.

Mortgage rates are much higher than they were a few years ago, but I have a feeling that they will be coming down relatively soon. And more activity will push home prices higher.

In Conclusion

Although no one likes to see recession, you can observe that it actually can be beneficial for homeowners and would-be purchasers to refinance or purchase during these periods.

If you have more questions and or would like to strategize about purchasing or refinancing, don’t hesitate to contact me, as it would be my pleasure to help you!

Market Uncertainty in the Banking Sector – Does This Impact Real Estate and Mortgage Rates?

March 14, 2023 /

I’ve been asked by many real estate agents and clients about how this week’s banking uncertainty might impact the real estate and mortgage markets.

Two banks have collapsed since last Friday and the federal government jumped in to guarantee depositors at those institutions. However, there’s still a lot of uncertainty about what this means to the markets.

Fortunately, depositors at Silicon Valley Bank — which failed Friday after a bank run — and New York-based Signature Bank — which collapsed Sunday — will see their money guaranteed by the federal government.

The U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) announced measures to guarantee that depositors would be able to receive all of their money back from those failed institutions.

For a great read on the details, I’d invite you to read this piece from Statechery…

Housing/Mortgage Impact

This situation looks nothing like 2008 when subprime lending and easy credit spurred a foreclosure crisis.

As a matter of fact, many experts see mortgage interest rates coming down because of this incident.

“I don’t think the bank failures will have a material impact on the housing market in the western U.S. The failures are idiosyncratic, and given the government’s decision to pay all depositors, I don’t expect there to be a problem in the broader financial system,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told MarketWatch.

He added, and “if anything mortgage rates may decline given the flight to quality into the bond market and prospects that the [U.S. Federal Reserve] may delay its rate increases.”

Mortgage lenders — which includes many banks — may not necessarily see problems with liquidity, said Sam Hall, property economist at Capital Economics.

person with keys for real estate

“The direct impact on the housing market is likely to be small. Moreover, SVB’s holdings of residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) account for a very small share of the overall market, so the forced selling of those assets is unlikely to put any downward pressure on MBS prices,” he added.

Al Otero, portfolio manager at Armada ETF Advisors, also said that the two banking failures may have forced the Federal Reserve to not raise rates, which could help the housing market.

There’s a rally in rates across the yield curve, Otero said, “and an expectation that the Fed will now ‘pause’ raising the funds rate at its March 21-22 policy session.”

“We could see a material reduction in mortgage rates going into the spring sales season,” he added, “which would be a substantial positive for the housing market.”

You can find more here…

The Federal Reserve

The bank failures may actually soften the Fed’s stance on interest rates.

“The hawkish tenor of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his Senate testimony last week and with the February rate hike, indicated a 50-basis-point increase was likely for the March rate decision” say’s NerdWallet’s Anna Helhoski.

You can read Anna’s full article here…

But the Silicon Valley Bank and Signature failures have clouded that outlook.

In a widely reported analysis of the failures, Goldman Sachs said it no longer expects the Fed to deliver any rate hike at the March 22 meeting, adding they had “considerable uncertainty about the path beyond March.”

Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co., was widely reported saying he expects a 25-basis-point hike at next week’s meeting.

In Conclusion

The heightened economic risk brought on by the failed banks and the government’s response is likely to bring a short-term boost to the housing market by way of lower mortgage rates. 

Secondly, the Federal Reserve might now re-think forceful rate increases that appeared imminent just weeks ago.  That should trigger lower mortgage rates, as well.

For buyers shopping now, a drop in interest rates would be a welcome boost to affordability – so reach out to me for more details, as it would be my pleasure to help would be borrowers navigate this environment.

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